4/13/2015

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2 comments
  1. Anonymous said:

    If you want to end this conflict, try to be more objective, because posting how bad the regime is will not help anyone, specially not Syrian citizens. Pretending the rebels are a bunch of saints is being naive, extremly naive. This pretension goes deep in the way you present this entire issue, for example, your statements about nusra. Pretending that the reason why nusra is considered bad, is only related to their link to al-qaeda, that is, plain and simply, stupid. It has something more to do with them being radicals, just a little drop more then some of regular FSA. There is almost no moderate opposition down there, and if there ever was they are probably not anymore. If you havent noticed, it’s mostly a Sunni vs Shia war down there, or have you seen any shias working on the rebel side?
    If the rebels, by miracle, manage to tople assad, it wont take longer then 5 months for them to start a Sunnni government and leave Shias and Chriastins on the side. If you havent noticed, the point of this revolution was to turn Syria into a democracy, but do you really think a rebel lead governemt will translate into an inclusive democracy? to think that way is a joke and an insult to the rebels inteligence, because they are the ones that have to cope with christian-shia supported barrelbombings.
    As you can see I don’t really sopport this ot that sides victory, because the resoult is almost the same: represion.
    But on the other side, consider what best.
    1)having a warking government structure
    2) not having a working government structure, and rellaying on the creation of a new one, on one hand and on the other, relaying that this new structure will be motivated by an all-inclusive inspiration of government, also, that it works.
    Option 2 is a clearly more complex then the first one and, based on that, it is evidently better and safer to go for the first one. This has one problem and that is: ¿will the governemt grant amnesty? If there is negotiations there will be amnesty, specially if it involves international organizations overwatching the wntire proces, but there must be negotiations for that.

    • Hi,
      I don’t do my blog to end the war, I do it both so I can learn about the conflict in-depth, and to put the information out for anybody who is interested. I don’t think anybody believes it’s going to end anytime soon, and it certainly won’t be affected by me.
      I try to be objective, but unfortunately many sides are biased towards one side or another. I don’t use The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights to determine rebel victories, and similarly I don’t use Al-Masdar News to determine government victories. I can see your point about the example you pointed out about Jabhat al-Nusra, but that is why I linked to the actual interview that goes into more depth about anti -JaN resentment, such as their dominance in the media. Sometimes I have time to list all of the points in an article, but often I don’t, so I link to it so people can read and see what I left out.
      I am fully aware that the rebels are not a bunch of saints, such as their recent execution of a helicopter pilot, or the women and children they had kidnapped for a year and then traded for a captured commander in Nubbol. Even the YPG, which seems to be the darling of the western press, burns Arab villages and is the armed wing of a political party that arrests young men to press them into service. But saying there is no moderate opposition left is not true, particularly in the south.
      As much as I hope that the war ends in a stable democracy, I don’t have much hope for it either. Aside from the absurd number of groups with an equally absurd number of goals and ideologies, I’m sure the various regional powers will be using their favored militias to destabilize it. I also have no idea what the fate of the different pro-government groups like the Christians, Alawites, and Druze will be. Apart from larger groups like JaN or Jaish al-Islam, any post-Assad government is also going to have to deal with the innumerable local groups who fight only in their area for either side, and who are not going to want to disarm. The ultimate result of the war can’t be known by anybody at this point since the conditions have to change so drastically for either side to win, and even then the Islamic State will still have to be contended with to regain oil revenue and the rest of the country.
      Anyway, thank you for the comment even if I disagreed with some of what you said.

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